¡Buenos dias! An Oceansat satellite pass late last evening measured 10-15 knot NNW winds over the southern Sea of Cortez, and all of the most recent forecast model runs show similar background flow continuing today. Early morning infrared satellite loops showed some mid-level cloud cover just to our east, but these should thin later this morning and we will likely see another good thermal boost this afternoon. Models still show a surface low pressure system rapidly moving from Idaho tonight into northern New Mexico on Saturday, with a trailing trough of low pressure forming over the southwestern U.S. This will weaken the surface pressure gradient over BCS on Saturday, with the background flow becoming light and only a light onshore breeze developing during the afternoon. As the storm system continues to deepen and move eastward on Sunday, surface high pressure will build back into the Baja Peninsula, with solid north flow returning. Ample north flow will likely continue through Monday, and with sunny skies again expected, we should see another windy afternoon. Things will begin to change as the new forecast model runs are in better agreement that a deep mid to upper-level low will dive southward into the northern Baja Peninsula on Tuesday, then become cut off from the main west to east flow and linger over our region for several days. This is a scenario that usually brings an extended period of light winds to our area, and at this point it looks like we could have light winds from Tuesday into next weekend.
- Today…Sunny. North wind 16-20 mph.
- Saturday…Mostly sunny. East wind 8-10 mph.
- Sunday…Sunny. North wind 18-22 mph.
- Monday…Sunny. North wind 18-22 mph.
- Tuesday…Sunny. Northeast wind 10-12 mph.
- Wednesday…Mostly sunny. East wind 8-10 mph.
- Thursday…Partly sunny. East wind 8-10 mph.