¡Buenos dias! An Oceansat satellite pass late last evening measured 10-15 knot NNW winds just east of Cerralvo,, and the latest model forecasts are in good agreement that similar background flow will continue today. Infrared satellite loops early this morning indicated that the high cloud cover of the past several days was thinning, and we should see full sunshine by mid morning, setting the stage for a solid thermal boost this afternoon. Unfortunately high clouds will again creep into BCS on Sunday, and they may significantly dampen our local thermal. That said, model forecasts show we may see a few thin spots in the cloud cover, and with a relatively tight surface pressure gradient, we should see strong enough background flow to give us a windy afternoon. The surface pressure gradient is forecast to weaken significantly on Monday, but a couple of the models show just enough background north flow will continue to couple with filtered sunshine and give us another rideable day. Strong surface high pressure is forecast to build into the 4-corners region of the U.S. on Tuesday and set up a classic situation for a norte here. While the windiest day will likely be Tuesday, low-end norte conditions may last into Thursday as the surface pressure gradient remains tight over BCS. Long-range model forecasts show significant variability going into next weekend, but overall it looks like moderate to strong north flow will continue through at least Friday.
- Today…Sunny. North wind 20-24 mph.
- Sunday…Partly sunny. North wind 16-20 mph.
- Monday…Mostly sunny. North wind 16-18 mph.
- Tuesday…Mostly sunny. North wind 22-26 mph and gusty.
- Wednesday…Mostly sunny. North wind 20-24 mph.
- Thursday…Mostly sunny. North wind 20-24 mph.
- Friday…Mostly sunny. North wind 18-22 mph.
Note: For the tide forecast, I’m switching back to the tideschart.com site from wisuki. Last week it wasn’t showing the afternoon low tides, but it seems to be working again.