¡Buenos dias! Several overnight satellite passes measured solid 15 knot NNW winds over the Sea of Cortez just east of Cerralvo, and the newest model runs indicate similar wind speeds will last through this afternoon. Infrared satellite loops early this morning showed a band of high clouds again streaming in from the southwest. While clouds will partially dampen our local thermal, there are some indications we could see some clearing for a time around midday which should give us at least a partial thermal boost. Nearly all of the forecast models show the surface pressure gradient weakening substantially tomorrow, with the background north flow falling to just below the threshold for activating our wind machine so for now it looks like a marginal day. Models forecasts are in good agreement that a strong surface high pressure system will build southward from Idaho into the 4-corners region of the U.S. on Tuesday and create the ideal setup for a strong norte here. Models are also in good agreement that a reinforcing shot of high pressure will move from far southwestern Canada into Idaho on Wednesday and help preserve the tight surface pressure gradient over BCS. The norte will slowly ebb on Thursday, but full sunshine should add a good thermal boost so it looks like another windy afternoon. The surface high to our north will weaken on Friday but ample north background flow should continue. All of the available model guidance shows a very weak wind regime setting up over BCS next Saturday as a broad area of low pressure forms over the southwestern U.S., with only light onshore breezes during the afternoon.
- Today…Partly sunny. North wind 18-22 mph.
- Monday…Mostly sunny. North wind 12-14 mph.
- Tuesday…Mostly sunny. North wind 22-26 mph and gusty.
- Wednesday…Mostly sunny. North wind 22-26 mph.
- Thursday…Sunny. North wind 20-24 mph.
- Friday…Sunny. North wind 16-20 mph.
- Saturday…Sunny. East wind 8-10 mph.