¡Buenos dias! An Oceansat satellite pass late last evening measured NW winds of 10 knots over the southern Sea of Cortez, and all of the latest numerical model forecasts show the background flow decreasing a bit today. It’ll be close again, but it looks like there will be just enough north flow remaining to help trigger our wind local machine. Infrared satellite loops early this morning showed some patches of high cloud streaming in from the southwest, but model forecasts indicate that we will likely see plenty of sun this afternoon, so we should see a significant thermal boost. The surface pressure gradient is forecast to weaken further on Sunday, with light winds expected here as a result. Similar conditions will likely persist through Monday with only light onshore breezes expected. Model forecasts are in good agreement that surface high pressure over the eastern Pacific will build eastward slightly into the Baja Peninsula on Tuesday, and depending on where the E-W oriented ridge sets up, we could see either too much west in the background flow if the ridge is too close to us or good north flow if it sets up farther to our north. For now, it looks like there will be a substantial west component to the winds on Tuesday, but Wednesday may see the flow becoming more northerly. Long-range models show similar uncertainty in the position of the ridge of high pressure for Thursday and Friday, but for now I’ll be optimistic that the axis of the ridge will be just to our north and we’ll see ample north background flow.
- Today…Mostly sunny. North wind 16-18 mph.
- Sunday…Sunny. Northeast wind 10-12 mph.
- Monday…Sunny. East wind 8-10 mph.
- Tuesday…Mostly sunny. North…northwest wind 12-14 mph.
- Wednesday…Mostly sunny. North wind 16-18 mph.
- Thursday…Mostly sunny. North wind 16-20 mph.
- Friday…Mostly sunny. North wind 16-18 mph.