¡Buenos dias! Multiple satellite passes missed the southern Sea of Cortez last evening, but all of the most recent numerical model forecasts show moderate to strong north background flow will continue today. Surface high pressure centered just north of the 4-corners area of the U.S. this morning will begin to rapidly weaken this evening and by Monday all of the latest model runs show the background north flow falling below the minimum threshold to trigger our wind machine. The models are in good agreement that an area of low pressure will form over the southwestern U.S. on Tuesday, with winds over BCS remaining light. A ridge of high pressure is then forecast to build into the southwestern U.S. on Wednesday, with solid north flow returning to our region. The pulse of north flow will be short-lived however, as Thursday will likely be a marginal day with the background north flow forecast to weaken and hover right around the go/no go speed. Long-range model forecasts are in good agreement that surface high pressure will build into the western U.S. on Friday, with moderate north flow returning to BCS. The high will likely remain nearly stationary through the following weekend, and with sunny skies expected, we should see a great stretch of windy days.
- Today…Sunny. North wind 20-24 mph.
- Monday…Mostly sunny. Northeast wind 10-12 mph.
- Tuesday…Sunny. East wind 8-10 mph.
- Wednesday…Sunny. North wind 18-22 mph.
- Thursday…Mostly sunny. North wind 14-16 mph.
- Friday…Sunny. North wind 16-20 mph.
- Saturday…Sunny. North wind 18-22 mph.