¡Buenos dias! An Oceansat satellite pass around midnight measured west winds at around 5 knots near Cerralvo, but all of the latest numerical model forecasts show a narrow ridge of high pressure will form to our north today and bring us a fresh pulse of north background flow. Infrared satellite loops early this morning showed clear skies will again be the rule today, so we will see a good thermal bump as well. The forecast becomes a lot trickier tomorrow as a storm system tracks from west to east across far southern California and the northern Baja Peninsula and tends to nudge the ridge of high pressure located to our north southward. This will turn the background flow more westward, and it’ll be close to see if our strong March thermal will be enough to pull the winds onshore Wednesday afternoon. For now it looks like the southern beaches will have the best chance of seeing sideshore winds, with NNW wind-shadowed and gusty conditions likely on northern beaches. Model forecasts are in excellent agreement that the ridge of high pressure over BCS on Thursday will move northward again on Friday with solid north background flow returning to our region. Similar conditions are expected on Saturday, then a reinforcing shot of high pressure will build into the 4-corners region of the U.S. on Sunday and ensure another windy day here. Long-range model forecasts are in good agreement that rapid changes will take place on Monday, with another storm system impacting California and the background flow over BCS becoming weak. As the storm system far to our north continues moving eastward on Tuesday, Pacific high pressure will begin building back into the Baja Peninsula, with north flow possibly reaching us as early as Tuesday afternoon.
- Today…Sunny. North wind 16-20 mph.
- Thursday…Sunny. North…northwest wind 16-20 mph.
- Friday…Sunny. North wind 20-24 mph.
- Saturday…Sunny. North wind 18-22 mph.
- Sunday…Mostly sunny. North wind 20-24 mph.
- Monday…Sunny. Northeast wind 12-14 mph.
- Tuesday…Sunny. North wind 16-20 mph.