¡Buenos dias! Yesterday the wind gauge at the campground (see graph below) measured 10 minute average sustained winds of 18-22 mph from 11:40 am until 3:40 pm, with a peak of 23 mph from 1:10 pm until 1:30 pm. The maximum 10 second average gusts were near 29 mph from around 2-2:30 pm, but I did see instantaneous wind gusts measured into the low 30s. It’s hard to believe that after such a windy day that we will see a down day today, but winds rapidly decreased last evening, and an Oceansat satellite pass around midnight measured west winds of only around 5 knots just east of Cerralvo. The latest numerical model forecasts are in unanimous agreement that we will see only light onshore breezes this afternoon as a storm system moves from west to east over the interior west of the U.S. and our background flow remains light. The overall weather pattern has shifted to a much more active one, with storm systems moving from west to east from the Pacific into the western U.S. about every 3 days or so. This will produce relatively rapid changes in our background flow over the next week, so get ready for a roller coaster ride of wind/no wind days. Friday will likely see a return of solid north background flow as the storm system far to our north moves far enough east to allow Pacific high pressure to build into the Baja Peninsula. A reinforcing shot of high pressure is then forecast to build into the 4-corners area of the U.S. on Saturday into Sunday, bringing norte conditions to our area. Models show the toggle switch will then turn to off on Monday as a storm system approaches southern California and our background flow again becomes light. Long-range model forecasts disagree on timing, but a couple of the more reliable ones show a return of solid north flow as early as Tuesday as surface high pressure builds into our region from the eastern Pacific. Solid north flow is then forecast to continue through at least Wednesday.
- Today…Partly sunny. East wind 8-10 mph.
- Friday…Sunny. North wind 18-22 mph.
- Saturday…Sunny. North wind 22-26 mph and gusty.
- Sunday…Sunny. North wind 22-26 mph.
- Monday…Sunny. Northeast wind 10-12 mph.
- Tuesday…Sunny. North wind 16-20 mph.
- Wednesday…Sunny. North wind 18-22 mph.
